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Evidence-driven analysis shaping policy and security across 13 countries.

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Regional Security

Analysis

Strategic analysis of conflict dynamics, security threats and geopolitical developments shaping stability across the Horn of Africa and the Great Lakes region.

— About This Service

The Regional Security Analysis (RSA) provides an authoritative lens through which to view the complex geopolitical shifts and security dynamics of the Horn of Africa and the Great Lakes region. In an era of poly-crisis where traditional state-based conflict converges with technological disruption and environmental instability our analysis offers the strategic clarity required by decision-makers to anticipate risks and navigate uncertainty

“Equipping policymakers, development partners and organisations with the strategic insights needed to navigate complex and rapidly evolving security environments.”

Analysis Coverage

  Conflict Pattern Analysis

Systematic tracking of conflict incidents, intensity trends, geographic spread and key actor dynamics across the Horn of Africa and Great Lakes.

  Armed Group & Non-State Actor Monitoring

In-depth profiling of armed groups, terrorist organisations and non-state actors — their capabilities, objectives, funding sources and regional networks.

  Regional Security Cooperation

Assessment of AU, IGAD, EAC and bilateral security cooperation frameworks — effectiveness, gaps and reform prospects.

  Maritime Security & Piracy

Analysis of Gulf of Aden and Indian Ocean maritime security developments, piracy trends and strategic naval activity affecting regional trade.

Geopolitical Competition

Tracking of external power competition — China, US, Gulf states, Turkey and others — and its security implications for regional stability.

Other HORN Services

GOLD MEMBERS ONLY

HORN Strategic Intelligence Briefing

Monthly actionable insights on fast-moving events and policy implications

BRONZE + GOLD MEMBERS

Expert Briefing

Personalised one-on-one sessions with HORN institute analysts

RISK ANALYSIS

Political Risk Analysis

Forward-looking analysis of political, governance and security risks shaping the Horn of Africa and the Great Lakes region

On Request

Monitoring & Evaluation

Rigorous M&E support for peace building and development

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Security Analysis?

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+254 720 323 896
Durham Road, Kileleshwa, Nairobi, Kenya