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Centre for Transnational Crimes & Strategic Threats

Providing the strategic analysis, research, and policy recommendations to counter illicit networks and criminal syndicates undermining security in the Horn of Africa

ABOUT THE CENTER

The Centre for Transnational Crimes and Strategic Threats conducts research and analysis on evolving transnational threats affecting regional and international security. The Centre focuses on threats such as organized crime, human trafficking, illicit financial flows, arms smuggling, cyber threats, and strategic risks impacting the Horn of Africa. Through research and policy engagement, the Centre supports efforts to strengthen regional cooperation, resilience, and response mechanisms against emerging security threats.

STRATEGIC CONTEXT

Porous borders, vast ungoverned spaces, and rapid technological adoption have catalyzed the growth of sophisticated transnational criminal enterprises. These networks not only drain national economies but frequently synergize with terrorist organizations and armed rebellions.

Transnational criminal networks operating across the Horn of Africa increasingly exploit weak governance and porous borders to facilitate terrorism, human trafficking, illicit trade, and cyber-enabled crime. These interlocking threats pose serious risks to regional security, economic stability, and state sovereignty. Addressing them demands coordinated regional responses, robust intelligence sharing, and policy interventions grounded in rigorous research and analysis.

EXPANDED RESEARCH DOMAINS

Illicit Economies and Smuggling Networks

Tracking human trafficking, as well as the smuggling of contraband, narcotics, and natural resources (e.g., gold, charcoal)

Cyber Warfare and Information Disorder

Analyzing the weaponization of social media, state-sponsored disinformation campaigns, and vulnerabilities in national cyber infrastructure.

Proliferation of Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALW)

Mapping the illicit supply chains that arm non-state actors across the region, enabled by the porous borders and chronic instability that characterize the Horn of Africa

Maritime Piracy and Blue Economy Threats

Addressing illegal fishing, toxic waste dumping, and the resurgence of piracy threats

METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH & POLICY IMPACT

The Center publishes research through bulletins, policy briefs, and books, and regularly convenes workshops, seminars, conferences, roundtable discussions, and consultative meetings. Through these initiatives, the Center provides direct analytical and policy support to law enforcement agencies and policy makers in the region.

FEATURED ANALYSIS

PUBLICATIONS FROM THIS CENTER

Authors: Hamadi I. Boga, Halimu S. Shauri, Hassan A. Mwakimako, Mohammed S. Mraja, Stephen O. Akoth

Radicalization into Violent Extremism in Coastal Kenya: Genesis, Impact and Responses

Authors: Mustafa Yusuf Ali, Mumo Nzau, Hassan Khannenje

The Changing Dynamics of Terrorism and Violent Extremism: Policy and Practice

Authors: Mustafa Yusuf Ali, Mumo Nzau, Hassan Khannenje

The Changing Dynamics of Terrorism and Violent Extremism: An Analysis

Authors: Mustafa Y. Ali, Ph.D.

The Globalization of Terrorism: From Sicariis, Assassins to ISIS