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2026

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De-escalating Ethiopia–Eritrea Tensions

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Horn of Africa confronts the credible prospect of a second Ethiopia–Eritrea war. Since late 2024, both states have mobilised troops, mechanized units and heavy equipment to their …

Somalia’s constitutional crisis: A high-stakes gamble

On 2 February 2026, Banaadir regional police stormed the federal parliament in Mogadishu, halting any proceedings.  Journalists were expelled, MPs threatened to be shot, and a female MP physically assaulted. This …